Research Expert:	Li, Lisa senior expert Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant, LTD
Report Title:	China fertilizer Market Review & Outlook Proposal 2009/2010
Report Summary:	Published: March 2010 Price: USD 1800 Background In 2009, under the ¡°positive fiscal, easy monetary¡± policy, the government has implemented a large-scale economic stimulus plan, substantially lower interest rates, take various measures to boost domestic demand and encourage exports. The slowing down momentum of China¡¯s macroeconomic growth has been effectively contained, and resumed an increase of over 8% compared the same period last year in the second of 2009. As for external economies, the global economic recession caused by the international financial crisis also has a certain degree of recovery, the negative impact on China¡¯s economy began to be weakened. In this context, China¡¯s fertilizer industry trends improved in the first half of 2009. Since the beginning of the third quarter of 2008, weak domestic consumption, stagnated export, plummeted prices, production decline and other unfavorable situation improved in varying degrees, industry profit margin also appeared several months of recovery. However, the situation of China¡¯s chemical fertilizer oversupply further developed, and the situation in policy environment, production and logistics costs and raw material supply remains rather grim, coupled with the impact of a prolonged slump in international prices, domestic fertilizer market in the second half backed into the bottom. Prices of various fertilizers had a substantial decline. The industry profit margin is comprehensively lower than that of last year, the loss-making percentage close to the five-year highs. BOABC expected that favorable factors that affect 2010 fertilizer market include: macro-economic policies will continue to take stimulating economic growth and expansion of domestic market as the main objective (although its intensity may be reduced); government continues to increase agricultural investment and subsidies, especially agricultural material subsidies directly for farmers to purchase fertilizers is expected to increase year by year, and the linkage mechanism with fertilizer prices is established; grain purchase price is also increasing steadily; Year 2009 is the 7th consecutive year of grain harvest, which is conducive to supporting the growth of fertilizer consumption; investment policies in fertilizer circulation has basically liberalized; low export tariff policy in 2010 will continue to be implemented, and so on. Negative factors include: domestic and international economic situation are still in recovery phase, the capacity of fertilizer consumption growth is limited; it is not only difficult to alleviate the current situation of fertilizer oversupply, but also the situation will be intensified in 2010; production, logistics, environmental protection and other costs are still on the rise; dependence on potash, sulfur and other raw materials are still high; preferential policies on fertilizer industries would be phased out, and so on. Based on a comprehensive review and analysis of 2009 China¡¯s fertilizer market, combined with national economic conditions and policy changes, BOABC will conduct a more in-depth analysis of China¡¯s fertilizer market trend in 2010, make clear judgements and provide references for people who pay attention to China¡¯s fertilizer market at home and abroad to make decisions. Main Content Chapter One Macro-economy and fertilizer industry development 1.1 China¡¯s national economic situation 1.1.1 Macro-economic situation of China¡¯s national economy in 2009 and 2010 trend forecasting 1.1.2 The implementation of the key planning objectives of the national economy 1.1.3 The implementation of the key planning objectives of agricultural development 1.1.4 The implementation of the key planning objectives of chemical industry 1.1.5 The implementation of the key planning objectives of fertilizer industry 1.2 Impact of agricultural policies on fertilizer industry 1.2.1 Impact of grain-purchasing price policy on the demand for fertilizer 1.2.2 Impact of direct food subsidies and agricultural material integrated subsidies policy on the demand for fertilizer 1.2.3 Impact of other agricultural policies on fertilizer industry 1.3 Impact of resources policy adjustment on fertilizer production 1.3.1 Impact of coal resources integration planning on fertilizer industry 1.3.2 Impact of gas-price policy adjustment on fertilizer industry 1.3.3 Mineral resources policy trends and its impact on fertilizer industry 1.4 The impact of monetary and fiscal policy adjustment on the investment and development of fertilizer industry 1.5 The impact of fuel policy adjustment on the logistics of fertilizers 1.6 The impact of the development of petrochemical industry on fertilizer industry 1.7 Investment in China¡¯s Fertilizer industry 1.7.1 Investment in Nitrogen fertilizerIndustry 1.7.2 Investment in Phosphate Fertilizer industry 1.7.3 Investment in Potash Fertilizer Industry 1.7.4 Investment in Compound Fertilizer Industry 1.7.5 Investment in Organic Fertilizer Industry 1.8 Competitive analysis of fertilizer industry 1.8.1 Competitive analysis of nitrogen fertilizer 1.8.2 Competitive analysis of phosphate fertilizer 1.8.3 Competitive analysis of potash fertilizer 1.8.4 Competitive analysis of compound fertilizer 1.9 Changes in fertilizer industry structure 1.10 Development of fertilizer distribution system 1.10.1 Policy changes in fertilizer distribution 1.10.2 Development of agricultural materials chain operaiton 1.10.3 Construction of Sinochem Fertilizer Co.. Ltd. domestic marketing network 1.10.4 Construction of CNADC marketing network 1.10.5 Development of post agricultural material logistics 1.10.6 Distribution and circulation of foreign invested companies Chapter Two Review and outlook of 2009-2010 fertilizer market 2.1 2009 fertilizer market review 2.1.1 Prosperity analysis of 2009 fertilizer industry 2.1.2 Fertilizer market trend in 2009 2.1.3 2009 Impact of international fertilizer market on China¡¯s fertilizer market 2.1.4 The impact of changes in export tariff policy on fertilizer market 2.1.5 2009 Crop fertilizer input-output analysis 2.1.6 Fertilizer production in 2009 2.1.7 Import and Export of fertilizer in 2009 2.1.8 Fertilizer consumption in 2009 2.1.9 Price trends of 2009 fertilizer market 2.2 Prospect on 2010 fertilizer market 2.2.1 Fertilizer market trends forecasting 2010 2.2.2 Input-output forecasting of 2010 farming industry 2.2.3 Fertilizer import quota and import agents in 2010 2.2.4 Changes in import and export tax rates in 2010 and Outlook on its impact on fertilizer market 2.2.5 Policy trend of 2010 fertilizer market 2.2.5.1 Industrial and investment policies 2.2.5.2 Tax and subsidy policies 2.2.5.3 Off-season reserves policies 2.2.5.4 Import and export policies 2.2.5.5 Price policies 2.2.5.6 Environment protection policies 2.2.6 Forecast on fertilizer production in 2010 2.2.7 Forecast on fertilizer import and export in 2010 2.2.8 Forecast on fertilizer consumption in 2010 Chapter Three Nitrogen fertilizermarket review and prospect 2009-2010 3.1 Nigrogeneous fertilizer market review 2009 3.1.1 Prosperity analysis of nitrogen fertilizerindustry 2009 3.1.2 Cost and profit of nitrogen fertilizerindustry 2009 3.1.3 Nitrogen fertilizermarket analysis 2009 3.1.4 Nitrogen fertilizeroutput in 2009 3.1.5 Import and export of nitrogen fertilizerin 2009 3.1.6 Nitrogen fertilizerconsumption in 2009 3.1.7 2009 Urea market review 3.1.7.1 China¡¯s urea market analysis 2009 3.1.7.2 2009 urea output 3.1.7.3 2009 urea consumption 3.1.7.4 2009 urea price trends 3.1.8 ABC market review 2009 3.1.8.1 ABC output 2009 3.1.8.2 ABC consumption 2009 3.1.8.3 ABC price trends 2009 3.1.9 Other nitrogen fertilizermarket 3.2 Prospect on 2009 nitrogen fertilizermarket 3.2.1 Growth potential of nitrogen fertilizer production capacity 2010 3.2.2 Nitrogen fertilizer market trends forecast 2010 3.2.3 Urea market trends forecast 2010 3.2.4 Impact of adjustment of export tariffs in 2010 on urea market 3.2.5 Situation outlook on coal and natural gas supply for nitrogen fertilizer use 2010 3.2.6 2010 nitrogen fertilizer production forecasting 3.2.7 Forecast for 2010 nitrogen fertilizer import and export 3.2.8 2010 nitrogen fertilizer consumption forecast Chapter Four 2009-2010 Phosphate fertilizer market review and prospect 4.1 2009 Phosphate fertilizer market review 4.1.1 Prosperity analysis of 2009 phosphate fertilizer industry 4.1.2 Cost and profit of phosphate fertilizer industry 2009 4.1.3 Phosphate fertilizer production in 2009 4.1.4 Import and export of phosphate fertilizer in 2009 4.1.5 Phosphate fertilizer consumption in 2009 4.1.6 Phosphate fertilizer price trends in 2009 4.2 2010 phosphate fertilizer market prospect 4.2.1 Growth potential of phosphate fertilizer production capacity 2010 4.2.2 situation prospect of phosphate fertilizer material supply 2010 4.2.3 Forecast on 2010 phosphate fertilizer output 4.2.4 Forecast on 2010 phosphate fertilizer import and export 4.2.5 2010 phosphate fertilizer consumption forecast Chapter Five 2009-2010 Potash Fertilizer Market Review and Prospect 5.1 2009 Potash fertilizer market review 5.1.1 Prosperity analysis of potash fertilizer industry 2009 5.1.2 Cost and profit of potash fertilizer industry 2009 5.1.3 Potash fertilizer production in Qinghai Salt Lake Potash Co., Ltd. 5.1.4 Potash project construction progress of Lop Nur in Xinjiang 5.1.5 Other important potash fertilizer project progress 5.1.6 Overseas potash fertilizer project construction progress 5.1.7 2009 potash fertilizer market analysis 5.1.8 2009 Potash fertilizer output 5.1.9 2009 Potash fertilizer import and export 5.1.10 2009 Potash fertilizer consumption 5.1.11 2009 Potash fertilizer price trends 5.2 2010 Potash fertilizer market prospect 5.2.1 Growth potential and production capacity of potash fertilizer in 2010 5.2.2 2010 Potash fertilizer market trends forecast 5.2.3 2010 Potash fertilizer output forecast 5.2.4 Forecast on import negotiation of potash fertilizer 2010 5.2.4 Forecast on import and export of potash fertilizer 2010 5.2.5 2010 Potash fertilizer consumption forecast Chapter Six 2009-2010 Compound fertilizer market review and prospect 6.1 2009 Compound fertilizer market review 6.1.1 Prosperity analysis of 2009 compound fertilizer market 6.1.2 Cost and profit of compound fertilizer industry 2009 6.1.3 Impact of straight fertilizer market on domestic compound fertilizer market 2009 6.1.4 2009 compound fertilizer market trends analysis 6.1.5 2009 compound fertilizer output 6.1.6 2009 compound fertilizer import and export 6.1.7 2009 compound fertilizer consumption 6.1.8 2009 NPK, DAP and MAP price trends 6.2 Prospects on 2010 compound fertilizer mareket 6.2.1 Growth potential of compound fertilizer production capacity 2010 6.2.2 Compound fertilizer market trends forecast 2010 6.2.3 Impact of export tariff adjustment on compound fertilizer market 2010 6.2.4 2010 Compound fertilizer output forecast 6.2.5 Forecast on compound fertilizer import and export 2010 6.2.5.1 Forecast on 2010 DAP and MAP export 6.2.5.2 Forecast on 2010 NPK import and export 6.2.6 2010 Compound fertilizer consumption forecast Chapter Seven Review and prospect of related industries in 2009-2010 7.1 2009-2010 Synthetic ammonia market review and prospect 7.1.1 Coal, natural gas and raw materials supply in 2009 7.1.2 2009 Synthetic ammonia output 7.1.3 2009 Synthetic ammonia import and export 7.1.4 2009 Synthetic ammonia price trends 7.1.5 2010 Synthetic ammonia output forecast 7.1.6 2010 Forecast on import and export of Synthetic ammonia 7.2 2009-2010 Phosphate market review and prospect 7.2.1 Analysis of China¡¯s phosphate supply 7.2.2 2009 Phosphate output 7.2.3 2009 Phosphate import and export 7.2.4 2009 Phosphate price trends 7.2.5 2010 Phosphate output forecast 7.2.6 Forecast on import and export of Phosphate 7.3 2009-2010 Sulfur and sulfuric acid market review and prospect 7.3.1 Analysis of China¡¯s sulfur and sulfuric acid supply 7.3.2 2009 Sulfur and sulfuric acid output 7.3.3 2009 Pyrite output 7.3.4 2009 Sulfur and sulfuric acid import 7.3.5 2009 Sulfur, sulfuric acid and pyrite price trends 7.3.6 2010 Pyrite output forecast 7.3.7 Forecast on import of sulfur, sulfuric acid 7.2 2009-2010 Phosphoric acid market review and prospect 7.4.1 2009 Phosphoric acid output 7.4.2 2009 Phosphoric acid import 7.4.3 2010 Phosphoric acid output forecast 7.4.4 Forecast on import of phosphoric acid
Report Date:	Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Report Price:	$1,800.00 $1,530.00 (15% Discount)
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